03.24.08
Electoral College Update: NV and NC
No sooner is the electoral college projection ready than Rasmussen comes and upends it with two new State polls from NV and NC.
| Obama v. McCain Designation |
 |
| Moderate Dem |
Nevada General Election Matchups:
| Poll | Obama | McCain | Margin | | | Clinton | McCain | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen 3/19 | 45 | 41 | D+4 | | | 44 | 43 | D+1 |
| SUSA 2/26-2/28 | 46 | 41 | D+5 | | | 41 | 49 | R+8 |
| Rasmussen 2/12 | 50 | 38 | D+12 | | | 40 | 49 | R+9 |
Rasmussen confirms SUSA’s poll from a month ago. Nevada is right on the cusp of switching to the Slight Democratic designation, but is not there yet.
| Obama v. McCain Designation |
 |
| Moderate GOP |
North Carolina General Election Matchups:
| Poll | Obama | McCain | Margin | | | Clinton | McCain | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen 3/20 |
42 | 51 | R+9 | | | 34 | 50 | R+16 |
| SUSA 2/26-2/28 | 45 | 47 | R+2 | | | 41 | 49 | R+8 |
Rasmussen shows McCain improving in North Carolina as compared to the earlier SUSA poll. Rasmussen generally finds relatively favorable results for GOP candidates, but this is enough to knock NC from Slight GOP to Moderate GOP. Still, another poll could knock it right back.
