Yep, Jerome is at it again

I thought that Obama would be able to close the margin in West Virginia, but none of the polls think he will. Obama went along with the outlandish prediction that he’d lose 80-20– that’s one way to tell West Virginians they don’t matter. Anyway, I’d better revise my thinking last month that Obama would close the gap.

I find it amusing that Jerome wants to complain about “states which don’t count” when it was Hillary Clinton’s campaign who started the whole “some states count more than others” line.

Mark “It’s Proportional Representation?!” Penn:

Could we possibly have a nominee who hasn’t won any of the significant states — outside of Illinois?

West Virginia shouldn’t be ignored, but it isn’t so important that the results there should overrule every other primary that has happened. Jerome wants to cherry-pick which states matter more than others, but I’m going to give him a hint, Obama won Virginia, a state which is four times larger than West Virginia, by a margin which is similar to what Clinton is likely to get out of West Virginia. To put this in more perspective, Clinton beat Obama in California by 9 points, while Obama beat Clinton in Georgia by 36 points. Even though California is roughly 4 times larger than Georgia, Obama’s net popular vote gain in Georgia was only about 50,000 votes short of Clinton’s popular vote gains in California. West Virginia will likely be comparble, not to Virginia, but to Louisiana (where Obama netted 10 delegates and 84,000 popular votes).