2010 Gubernatorial Race Rankings
These rankings are out of date, see here for more up-to-date rankings
Safe Democratic (3)
- Lynch (New Hampshire)
- Beebe (Arkansas)
- O’Malley (Maryland)
Democratic Potential Dark-Horse (2)
- Quinn (Illinois)
- Patrick (Massachusetts)
Likely Democratic (1)
- Open New Mexico (Richardson)
Leans Democratic (4)
- Open Maine (Baldacci)
- Open Oregon (Kulongoski)
- Strickland (Ohio)
- Open Hawaii (Lingle)
Toss-up (15)
- Open Michigan (Granholm)
- Freudenthal (Wyoming)*
- Paterson (New York)
- Open Pennsylvania (Rendell)
- Open Wisconsin (Doyle)
- Culver (Iowa)
- Open Colorado (Ritter)
- Open Rhode Island (Carcieri)
- Open Florida (Crist)
- Open California (Schwarzenegger)
- Open Minnesota (Pawlenty)
- Brewer (Arizona)
- Gibbons (Nevada)
- Open Vermont (Douglas)
- Open Connecticut (Rell)
Leans Republican (3)
- Open Tennessee (Bredesen)
- Open Oklahoma (Henry)
- Open Georgia (Perdue)
Likely Republican (4)
- Open Kansas (Parkinson)
- Open Alabama (Riley)
- Open South Carolina (Sanford)
- Open South Dakota (Rounds)
Republican Potential Dark-horse (2)
- Perry (Texas)
- Parnell (Alaska)
Safe Republican (3)
- Otter (Idaho)
- Heineman (Nebraska)
- Herbert (Utah)
(7/16/2009) Governor race rankings created
(8/22/2009) Changed WI-Gov to open seat and to Toss-up from Leans Democratic, moved VA-Gov to Leans Republican from Toss-up
(8/27/2009) Changed VT-Gov to open seat and to Toss-up from Republican Potential Darkhorse
1/6/2010 Moved Connecticut from Republican Potential Darkhorse to Toss-up (recognizing Jodi Rell’s retirement), moved Colorado from Leans Democratic to Toss-up (also recognizing Ritter’s retirement), moved Iowa from Leans Democratic to Toss-up, removed New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial races as they both have been held.
